Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.003357 0.003747 0.004153 0.004607 0.005099 0.005617 0.006201
2024-10-20 0.002666 0.003201 0.003791 0.004485 0.005278 0.006149 0.007178
2024-10-27 0.002288 0.002900 0.003601 0.004459 0.005471 0.006621 0.008018
2024-11-03 0.001983 0.002635 0.003410 0.004387 0.005575 0.006961 0.008686
2024-11-10 0.001767 0.002451 0.003288 0.004374 0.005727 0.007341 0.009392
2024-11-17 0.001577 0.002276 0.003158 0.004332 0.005828 0.007649 0.010005
2024-11-24 0.001473 0.002203 0.003147 0.004430 0.006098 0.008162 0.010872
2024-12-01 0.001305 0.002027 0.002987 0.004322 0.006094 0.008325 0.011301
2024-12-08 0.001194 0.001920 0.002909 0.004314 0.006212 0.008638 0.011919
2024-12-15 0.001153 0.001909 0.002958 0.004475 0.006553 0.009242 0.012918
2024-12-22 0.001084 0.001850 0.002937 0.004535 0.006757 0.009670 0.013695
2024-12-29 0.001042 0.001828 0.002964 0.004660 0.007050 0.010218 0.014637
2025-01-05 0.001005 0.001811 0.003000 0.004804 0.007379 0.010829 0.015687
2025-01-12 0.000895 0.001674 0.002852 0.004675 0.007323 0.010919 0.016044
2025-01-19 0.000822 0.001590 0.002777 0.004648 0.007405 0.011195 0.016652
2025-01-26 0.000746 0.001493 0.002676 0.004574 0.007415 0.011368 0.017119
2025-02-02 0.000690 0.001426 0.002617 0.004560 0.007508 0.011656 0.017748
2025-02-09 0.000632 0.001352 0.002542 0.004517 0.007555 0.011877 0.018284
2025-02-16 0.000609 0.001336 0.002560 0.004618 0.007818 0.012409 0.019263
2025-02-23 0.000546 0.001244 0.002447 0.004507 0.007756 0.012471 0.019578
2025-03-02 0.000508 0.001194 0.002400 0.004499 0.007848 0.012757 0.020212
2025-03-09 0.000502 0.001205 0.002460 0.004664 0.008212 0.013444 0.021434
2025-03-16 0.000479 0.001182 0.002457 0.004726 0.008415 0.013898 0.022323